Analysis: Mortgage probe may open new path for housing relief
Published October 28, 2011 | Reuters
By Aruna Viswanatha and Rick
Rothacker
A controversial weapon could be deployed soon
in the U.S. fight against the housing crisis as states and top banks
near a deal in their dispute over mortgage abuses -- cutting the
mortgage debt owed by homeowners. Five major banks could be required
to commit roughly $15 billion to reduce principal balances for
struggling homeowners and modify loans in other ways under a
proposed deal to settle allegations linked to the "robo-signing"
scandal. That amount would be part of broader sanctions that could
total $25 billion, small change for the giants of
Wall Street but potentially sowing the seed for a new approach
to tackling the housing crisis.
Settlement talks continue with the banks, state attorneys general
and some federal agencies over foreclosure shortcuts and other
abuses. A deal could be struck within a month, according to people
familiar with the matter. Much of the exact language has yet to be
hashed out but it could provide for the first broad use of principal
write-down’s, something economists and housing advocates say is a
drastic but needed step to help set right the housing market.
Investors and the government-controlled mortgage finance giants
Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac -- which own around half of all U.S. mortgages --
have long resisted the idea. There are concerns it could encourage
some borrowers to stop paying in order to qualify for a reduction in
their overall mortgage. Fannie and Freddie's regulator has been wary
of allowing principal reductions; doing so would lower the value of
the assets held by the taxpayer-supported firms. More broadly,
public anger over the possibility of bailouts for homeowners who got
out of their depth in debt is seen as one of the origins of the
conservative
Tea Party movement.
Given the political sensitivity, the Obama administration has so
far trodden carefully to help homeowners. It wants to let more
borrowers refinance to lower interest rates and stretch out the
terms of loans to reduce monthly payments. Some officials at the
Federal Reserve say the central bank should buy more mortgage
debt to bring down borrowing rates. But those efforts do little to
address the underlying problem, that many borrowers owe more than
their homes are worth. Under a potential settlement, the five banks
-- Bank of America,
JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup,
Wells Fargo, and Ally Financial -- would have to meet dollar
targets to reduce principal for underwater borrowers.
"I think it will be a step in the right direction," said Ira
Rheingold, executive director of the National Association of
Consumer Advocates. "The AGs hope this could work as a pilot
program, and show how principal reduction could work.” To be sure,
the reductions will have limited impact. The deal is unlikely to
touch mortgages held by Fannie and Freddie. And according to a
back-of-the-envelope calculation, $15 billion in reduction at
$50,000 per borrower could reach around 300,000 borrowers, a
fraction of the 11 million underwater homeowners. But a deal may
prompt banks to expand the limited principal reduction programs that
they have so far directed toward only the riskiest loans in their
portfolios.
The settlement could lay the groundwork for a broader program, if
Fannie and Freddie are swayed to test it out themselves as an
alternative to the costly process of foreclosing on struggling
borrowers. "Fifteen billion (dollars) is a drop in the bucket, but
here might well be the very opportunity to conduct an experiment,"
said Ken H. Johnson, a professor at Florida International
University's business school.
PRIOR EFFORTS
One model could be the 2008 settlement between Countrywide, the
mortgage lender bought by Bank of America in that year, and state
attorneys general. It provided a framework for loan modifications
that became the basis for the administration's Home Affordable
Modification Program which has so far had only a modest impact. That
deal set up the now widely used "waterfall" approach to trying to
lower a borrower's monthly payment through a series of steps that
include reducing the interest rate, extending the term of the loan
and deferring some principal.
The states are hopeful a settlement on foreclosure abuses could
have a similar ripple effect. Not all states are satisfied with Bank
of America's compliance with the 2008 settlement, presaging some
concerns that could arise in any new settlement. Nevada and Arizona
sued the bank saying it did not honor its obligations and engaged in
"deceptive" practices in dealing with distressed borrowers. Shum
Preston, a spokesman for the California attorney general, also said
that his office continues to receive complaints from Countrywide
borrowers.
But Massachusetts, which last year extracted an additional
commitment from Bank of America to reduce around $3 billion in
principal on some of its riskiest loans across the country, said the
bank had been complying with the settlement. A spokesman for the
attorney general's office in the state, Brad Puffer, said around
2,600 residents have received loan modifications under the
settlement, saving some $125 million in mortgage payments, including
both principal reductions and other types of modifications. Bank of
America said it had extended 49,000 offers to reduce principal for
underwater borrowers nationwide, forgiving almost $3 billion in
principal payments, since the agreement.
That settlement, and a similar one by Wells Fargo, were directed
at the riskiest loans, leaving largely untouched more traditional
mortgages that are still deep underwater due to cratering home
prices. Wells says it has provided $4 billion in principal reduction
as part of 96,000 modifications completed since the
Wachovia acquisition. In addition, since 2010, Wells has
participated in a HAMP principal reduction program. "We're never
been here before so we can't look to past experience," said Johnson,
the business school professor, "with the added complexity of what
foreclosures do to market pricing, some form of principal
reduction may be the answer."
(Reporting by Aruna Viswanatha in Washington D.C. and Rick
Rothacker in Charlotte, North Carolina; Editing by Tim Dobbyn)

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Broward home prices bottomed 10 months ago
October 27, 2011 03:45PM
Broward County home prices have already hit their valley, and are
now showing stability and potential for growth.
The Sun-Sentinel noted that median home prices in the country have
yet to drop lower than the $165,100 the Florida Association of
Realtors reported in January, and have hovered between $188,800 and
$196,000 between May and September. That is a good indication of
stability. For comparison's sake median home prices in Palm Beach
County have been volatile, and most of South Florida in general has
experienced price declines from a year ago. Not so in Broward. "Most
likely, we're not going to see prices return to that low," said Brad
Hunter of research firm Metrostudy.
[Sun-Sentinel]
October 2011 Market Conditions
Sunday, October
30, 2011
Coral Springs
Florida
MONTH
YTD
Number of homes
for sale
333
Number of homes
sold
73
778
Average days on
the market for sold
homes
118 60
Median price of
homes currently for sale
$294,100
Median price of homes
sold
$285,000 $260,000
The Coral Springs
market continues to improve, month after month.
The current
inventory level of 333 homes for sale, equates to 4.56 months of
inventory and the median price of sold homes has increased by 9.6%
as compared to the year to date average.
Although it is
still a buyers market, if this trend continues that may change by
the beginning of the year. Coral Springs is still one of most
family friendly communities in the Fort Lauderdale area, with great
schools, parks, amusements, shops, and easy access to everything
else anyone could want.
PARKLAND
MONTH YTD
Number of homes
for sale
212
Number of homes
sold
26 329
Average days on the market for sold
homes
128 119
Median price of
homes currently for
sale $624,900
Median price of homes
sold
$424,000 $453,000
The Parkland market is one of those strange markets where
home prices run from the low $300,000 range to the $4 to $5,000,000
range. Currently the high end of the market is the slowest selling
portion with many great values available. October closings were down
slightly and based on those numbers we have approximately 8.5 months
of inventory available, the number is probably closer to 6.45 months
of inventory which is still a little high. The median price of
homes sold was down 6.8% based on the year to date figures, which
appears to be an anomaly. Prices for the area as compared to last
year are up over 7%. One reason for the change in figures is that
there is still new construction in the city, which competes with the
same buyers. There are many great values in this upscale, exclusive
city; the question is how long they will remain. Lea Plotkin @
Rubin Wites
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